Hunchline
BTC$77,311-1.8%ETH$2,299.77-3.0%SOL$84.71-2.7%BTC.D$58.170.0%Celtics vs. 76ersYes 100¢/No 0¢Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal ChaYes 0¢/No 100¢Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26,Yes 100¢/No 0¢Lakers vs. RocketsYes 0¢/No 100¢Oilers vs. DucksYes 82¢/No 18¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 2¢/No 98¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps afYes 0¢/No 100¢INTC$84.99+27.3%LLY$868.27-5.4%AAPL$267.61-2.1%AMD$334.63+9.6%GLD$429.89-0.3%GOOGL$350.34+3.4%IWM$277.14+0.6%META$678.62+3.0%MSFT$424.82+2.2%NVDA$216.61+8.5%QQQ$664.23+2.0%SPY$715.17+0.9%TLT$86.28-0.3%TSLA$378.67+1.3%USO$134.720.0%BTC$77,311-1.8%ETH$2,299.77-3.0%SOL$84.71-2.7%BTC.D$58.170.0%Celtics vs. 76ersYes 100¢/No 0¢Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal ChaYes 0¢/No 100¢Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26,Yes 100¢/No 0¢Lakers vs. RocketsYes 0¢/No 100¢Oilers vs. DucksYes 82¢/No 18¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 2¢/No 98¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps afYes 0¢/No 100¢INTC$84.99+27.3%LLY$868.27-5.4%AAPL$267.61-2.1%AMD$334.63+9.6%GLD$429.89-0.3%GOOGL$350.34+3.4%IWM$277.14+0.6%META$678.62+3.0%MSFT$424.82+2.2%NVDA$216.61+8.5%QQQ$664.23+2.0%SPY$715.17+0.9%TLT$86.28-0.3%TSLA$378.67+1.3%USO$134.720.0%
Fed Rate3.64
10Y4.31
2Y3.78
Spread0.57
VIX18.71
Oil$91
Unemp4.30
CPI330.29

What's Moving Today

Markets, prediction bets, and live community signals.
Equities — 24h Change
S&P 500 (SPY)$715.17
+0.95%
NASDAQ (QQQ)$664.23
+1.97%
Russell 2K (IWM)$277.14
+0.59%
Crypto
BTC$77,311
-1.80%
ETH$2,300
-3.03%
SOL$85
-2.71%
-1.60%
Crypto Mkt Cap 24h
58.2%
BTC Dominance
22
Crypto Fear Gauge

Market Pulse

S&P 500 Daily Movers
INTCIntel Corporation+27.3%
LLYEli Lilly and Company-5.4%
AAPL$267.61-2.1%
AMD$334.63+9.6%
GLD$429.89-0.3%
GOOGL$350.34+3.4%
IWM$277.14+0.6%
META$678.62+3.0%
MSFT$424.82+2.2%
NVDA$216.61+8.5%
QQQ$664.23+2.0%
SPY$715.17+0.9%

Polymarket — Top by Volume

1

Celtics vs. 76ers

Yes 100¢No 0¢$6197K vol
2

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Cha

Yes 0¢No 100¢$2031K vol
3

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26,

Yes 100¢No 0¢$3428K vol
4

Lakers vs. Rockets

Yes 0¢No 100¢$11307K vol
5

Oilers vs. Ducks

Yes 82¢No 18¢$1355K vol

Conspiracy TrackerPosts matching conspiracy-adjacent keywords across Reddit & HN

Top Research Reports

Highest-scoring papers across AI, ML, robotics, and quantitative finance.

ML

Why Steering Vectors Work: A Mechanistic Breakdown

A new study explains why 'steering vectors' change AI behavior, finding that models can be redirected with 90-99% sparser interventions than previously assumed.

CY

44% of Computer Vision Conference Sponsors Have Military Ties

Nearly half of computer vision conference sponsors have direct military or surveillance ties, challenging the field's self-image as politically neutral.

Vision

LeanGate Cuts Robotic SLAM Compute by 85%

A lightweight gating network cuts robotic SLAM compute by 85% before the heavy processing even starts — promising faster, cheaper spatial mapping on real hardware.

SD

Noise-Aware Context Cuts Audio AI Hallucinations by a Third

A training-free method cuts hallucination rates in audio AI models by 36%, using noise context clues instead of expensive model retraining.

ML

Faster, Smarter Shapley Value Approximation with Formal Guarantees

A new algorithm cuts the cost of explaining AI decisions, with formal guarantees on accuracy — useful for anyone building explainability tools at scale.

ML

HiFloat4: 4-Bit LLM Training on Huawei's Ascend Chips

Huawei's HiFloat4 format trains large language models at 4-bit precision on Ascend chips, staying within 1% of full-precision accuracy.

NLP

Building a Smarter Dataset for Non-Native English

A new annotated dataset treats non-native English as its own linguistic system, not just broken grammar — potentially improving AI language tools for billions of learners.

ML

Smaller AI Models May Get Worse From Distillation Training

Smaller AI models trained on big-model reasoning may perform worse than before training — a flaw in how the field measures 'knowledge distillation' success.

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Data Landscape

Research by Category

ML
13
Vision
8
AI
6
NLP
3
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2
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2
CY
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